Opta’s supercomputer has posted a prediction of the final Serie A standings based on the current standings and the opponents yet to be faced.

Achieving their eleventh consecutive positive result in the league, Roma narrowly won a challenging and complex match against Como with a score of 2-1. This victory, especially significant as it allows them to leapfrog over Milan into the eighth place, ensures they maintain pace with the teams preceding them. Under the guidance of Ranieri, the Giallorossi are quickly climbing up the ranks, steadily gnawing away points from Juve, Lazio, Bologna, Fiorentina, and of course, Milan. The remarkable 43 points have paved the way for Roma to dare dreaming something that until a couple of months ago seemed almost like a dream – qualifying for the European cups through the league. The path ahead remains steep, with Roma 4 points away from Bologna’s Conference and 7 points away from Lazio’s Europa League – and 9 points short of Juve’s Champions’ status. In navigating a course laden with European commitments and a schedule that becomes more challenging towards the end, it won’t be easy to make more overtakes. The supercomputer of Opta has drafted a prediction of the final standing, estimating the likelihood that the teams will end up in a certain position in the competition. The model has estimated the probabilities of each outcome of the upcoming matches (win, draw, or loss) using the betting market odds and the Powerplay Opta rankings. The odds and rankings are based on the historical and recent performances of each team, taking into account the strength of the opponents, using these match outcome probabilities, and simulates the remaining matches in the tournament thousands of times. By analyzing the result of each of these simulations, the model determines how many times the teams have ended the championship in each position to create the final predictions. What has essentially emerged is the crystallization of the current standings. For Roma, the highest probability remains to finish in the eighth position at 27.4%. The seventh place has a probability of 20.9%, the sixth spot, which would secure the Conference League, is at 12.3%, and the fifth place, which would mean Europa League, is at 4.4%. Hopes for the Champions are faint with a mere 0.9%. Inter would still be champion of Italy, with a striking 68.1%.